Saturday, October 24, 2009

“You may all go to hell, and I will go to Texas.”


Davy Crockett said it best, "You may all go to Hell, and I will go to Texas". In the 1830s as a new republic fighting for independence from Mexico, Texas stimulated a spirit of pride amongst its new residents, most of whom were immigrants from the United States or Mexico. Today, Texas is now a member of the Union but still carries state pride high. Texas can fly the state flag at the same level as the U.S. flag. Most Texans will argue we can legally secede from the Union. School children say the Pledge to the Texas Flag immediately following the Pledge of Allegiance. And of course…we remember the Alamo! Setting aside our sense of pride for a minute (not to worry, it's within easy reach) and fast forwarding to today let's look at the population & job growth in Texas to see if Crockett would still make a visit today.

In the past century and a half the Texas economy, Houston in particular, seemed to have an unusually large number of migrants. My mom, a Louisiana native, likes to quote her favorite bumper sticker, "I wasn't born in Texas, but I got here as fast as I could." According to the US Census Bureau from 2000-2008
U.S. population growth
was at 11.355% and in Texas during the same period population growth was 17.66%, exceeding the national average. In fact in Fort Bend County, Texas alone growth was 5.3% between 2007 & 2008, making it the 7th fastest growing county nationwide while Montgomery County held firm in 12th place.

So, are people moving to Texas because of wonderful culture or because of jobs? Nationwide 131,003,000 jobs were reported for August 2009 over last year when 137,002,000 jobs were reported. That is a –4.4% growth rate. In the same period, Texas reported 10,316,300 in 2009 and 10,611,700 in 2008. That's –2.8%. So, while employment isn't as good as it has been in the past, it's definitely not as bad as the national average. Likewise, unemployment nationwide for August 2009 was 9.6% and in Texas it was 8.1%. Economists suggest a healthy unemployment rate is 5-6%. Again, it could be worse; you could live in California which had 12.1% in August 2009 or Michigan with the over 14%.

Another contributing factor to the population increase in Texas is the low cost of living. Real estate in Houston is 143% less expensive than Chicago, 72% less expensive than Los Angeles, 68% less expensive than New York City, 64% less expensive than Phoenix and 30% less expensive than Orlando. In addition to the low housing costs, Texas has no state income tax, maintains low business taxes and boasts one of the highest median incomes in the nation.

In the past, the largest contributing factor to the high number of migrants/immigrants is the oil & gas industry. You say "Texas" & I say "oil." The "train wreck" that was the 80s brought not only a collapse of the industry but set in motion a domino effect that would crash the job & housing markets nationwide. Interest rates soared to as high as 21% and foreclosures rose to almost 2% nationwide. While the energy industry will probably always be the "belt & suspenders" of Texas economy, diversification over the years has brought new growth to the economy. To avoid another economic disaster Texas has worked hard to diversify its economic make up. The industries with the largest growth in Texas from August 2008 to August 2009 were Health Services & Education at 4% growth, government at 2.9% and leisure/hospitality at .01%. In addition to diverse industrial make up, there are 118 Fortune 1000 firms in Texas and 64 Fortune 500 firms. Not too shabby, eh?

Overall, it would appear that even in a downward sloping economy things can still look up. Of all the states you could live in the best opportunities are in Texas: lower unemployment, higher pay, lower real estate costs and a lot of Texas Pride. So, my friends, while it may seem like the national economy is going to hell in a hand basket, do like Davy and come to Texas!"

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By Elizabeth Rozier

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